Thursday, September 29, 2011

FINAL STANDINGS - September 29, 2011

Congratulations to Amy Gill, the winner of the 2011 MLB Predictions Pool.  Amy rose from the wreckage of what was surely one of the wildest regular season finales we've ever seen, with a little help from Chris Carpenter.  We'll post some additional stats and thoughts of our own on the 2011 season on the Pool blog page soon.

Amy becomes the seventh different champion in as many years, and takes home a nifty prize of $460.  We hope everyone comes back next year, and hopefully we can recruit a few more entrants to bring our pot to the $500 mark.

Happy postseason everyone!

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

September 28, 2011

Prince Fielder hits three home runs at Miller Park last night, and Amy Gill takes the Pool lead with six points.  Wild cards in both leagues are tied (BOS/TB, ATL/STL), so things might not end tonight...

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

September 27, 2011 (9:56 pm)

Wow. Miguel Cabrera vaults to the batting lead (11-for-17 in last four games) as Matt Kemp sneaks past Albert Pujols in NL home runs, turning our own Predictions Pool leaderboard upside down… for now.

Things are changing even as I write this (9:30 pm), but our new leaders are Sid Harris, Amy Gill, and Jim Kushner. Our new triumvirate rests precariously on the aforementioned leads of Cabrera and Kemp, as well as the current positions of Brett Gardner (tied for AL SB lead) and Roy Halladay (NL IP).

Halladay’s situation might be most compelling here, as it involves the fortunes of the St. Louis Cardinals and the NL wild card race. Atlanta’s getting blown out by the Phils tonight, and the Cards are tied with Houston in the 4th... this puts St. Louis either tied or one game back.  All signs point to Chris Carpenter pitching in what could be the season finale for St. Louis, and most likely gaining the 5 2/3 innings he needs to surpass Halladay for NL IP. The possibility of a one-game tiebreaker between the Cardinals and Braves makes things even more interesting, as stats from the 163rd contest do count (see Matt Holliday 1997 for more on this). Of course, any tiebreaker home runs hit by Albert Pujols will count as well…

I’m not even going to mention a Boston-Tampa Bay tiebreaker.


Friday, September 23, 2011

September 23, 2011

Dan McCloskey is alone at the top, thanks to Matt Kemp’s run-scoring explosion this week (10 R in last 5 games).  This puts “unique pick” Ryan Braun out of the lead in runs, and Jason Salavon back down to three points.

This thing’s all over if Roy Halladay can’t hold his lead in NL IP.  Roy, rotation-mate Cliff Lee, and Clayton Kershaw are neck-and-neck with one start apiece remaining, but it’s possible that Chris Carpenter (6.1 IP behind Halladay) could enter the mix.  Carpenter could actually fit in two starts before the season ends for a Cardinal squad fighting for a Wild Card berth.  Again, Halladay slips and McCloskey wins.

Sid Harris can still win if Albert Pujols loses the NL HR crown to Kemp, Dan Uggla, or anyone else.  However, this shift only matters if Halladay holds on to IP.

Check http://www.mlbpool.blogspot.com/ for more news!


Sunday, September 18, 2011

September 18, 2011

Dan McCloskey and Jason Salavon are tied for the lead with 11 days left in the regular season. Lots can happen between now and September 28th…

Roy Halladay picking up an extra victory or Adrián González taking AL RBI will win it all for Dan. If Prince Fielder can bang out a few more for the NL HR crown, then Jason Salavon takes the lead outright. Miguel Cabrera seizing the AL batting title could put former champ Sid Harris in first, but CC Sabathia’s back-to-back losses probably cost John Agnello his slice of the pie.

If you have any other alternate scenarios, leave comments at www.mlbpool.blogspot.com. Hey, is this a good time to mention that both McCloskey and Salavon picked 161/.161 man Adam Dunn (K/BA) to lead the AL in HR?

Stay tuned!

Monday, September 5, 2011

September 5, 2011

With just over three weeks to go in the season, both innings pitched categories remain critical to the outcome of this year's pool. Although currently in 5th place, it still appears John Agnello has the best chance of catching pool leader Dan McCloskey.

Both CC Sabathia and Roy Halladay trail the respective leaders in their leagues by less than a start's worth of innings. If both of them can capture that category, Agnello could take the pool.

As we pointed out a week ago, Amy Gill needs to win outright to take the prize, given her low HBP total. Miguel Cabrera has an outside shot at the AL batting title, and Prince Fielder can still take the NL home run crown. Those appear to be her best bets at this point.